Villa Dalmine vs Arsenal Sarandi: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini, Campana, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 35% for Villa Dalmine, 37% for a draw, 28% for Arsenal Sarandi. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villa Dalmine vs Arsenal Sarandi?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Villa Dalmine (1,748) and Arsenal Sarandi (1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa Dalmine have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Arsenal Sarandi have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Deportivo Laferrere(away) | 2-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brown DE Adrogue(home) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportivo Armenio(away) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Flandria(home) | 2-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Argentino de Merlo(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Talleres Remedios(home) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Laferrere(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Brown DE Adrogue(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Deportivo Armenio(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Villa Dalmine win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Arsenal Sarandi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Arsenal Sarandi 1-1 Villa Dalmine | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Villa Dalmine 1-3 Arsenal Sarandi | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Arsenal Sarandi vs Villa Dalmine on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villa Dalmine score 0.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal Sarandi score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 22% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa Dalmine | 0.9 | 0.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Arsenal Sarandi | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villa Dalmine sit 3rd in Primera B Metropolitana (37 points from 20 matches) and Arsenal Sarandi sit 4th (37 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Villa Dalmine | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 35 | 16 | 58 |
| 3 | Villa Dalmine | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 10 | 37 |
| 4 | Arsenal Sarandi | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 27 | 14 | 37 |
| 5 | Arsenal Sarandi | 31 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 39 | 22 | 54 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villa Dalmine vs Arsenal Sarandi?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 35% for Villa Dalmine, 37% for a draw, 28% for Arsenal Sarandi.
- Where and when is Villa Dalmine vs Arsenal Sarandi played?
- Villa Dalmine vs Arsenal Sarandi is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 22% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026UAI UrquizavsArgentino de Merlo
- Sep 5, 2026Real PilarvsTalleres Remedios
- Sep 5, 2026Dock SudvsComunicaciones
- Sep 5, 2026Deportivo CamionerosvsArgentino Quilmes
- Sep 5, 2026Villa San CarlosvsBrown DE Adrogue
- Sep 5, 2026Deportivo MerlovsDefensores Unidos
- Sep 5, 2026ExcursionistasvsItuzaingó
- Sep 5, 2026San Martín BurzacovsDeportivo Armenio