Villa San Carlos vs Brown DE Adrogue: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Genancio Sálice, Berisso, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Villa San Carlos the favourite at 41%, against 34% for a draw and 26% for Brown DE Adrogue. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villa San Carlos vs Brown DE Adrogue?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Villa San Carlos (1,645) and Brown DE Adrogue (1,620).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa San Carlos have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Brown DE Adrogue have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Flandria(home) | 3-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes(away) | 2-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Defensores Unidos(home) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Comunicaciones(away) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dock Sud(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Real Pilar(away) | 0-2 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 21, 2026 | UAI Urquiza(home) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Villa Dalmine(away) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Excursionistas(home) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Arsenal Sarandi(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Villa San Carlos win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Brown DE Adrogue win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Brown DE Adrogue 2-1 Villa San Carlos | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Brown DE Adrogue 1-0 Villa San Carlos | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Villa San Carlos 2-1 Brown DE Adrogue | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Oct 17, 2015 | Brown DE Adrogue 1-0 Villa San Carlos | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jun 8, 2015 | Villa San Carlos 1-0 Brown DE Adrogue | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Apr 12, 2014 | Brown DE Adrogue 2-1 Villa San Carlos | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Brown DE Adrogue vs Villa San Carlos on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villa San Carlos score 1.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Brown DE Adrogue score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa San Carlos | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Brown DE Adrogue | 0.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villa San Carlos sit 21st in Primera B Metropolitana (16 points from 20 matches) and Brown DE Adrogue sit 20th (19 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Villa San Carlos | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 37 | 38 |
| 20 | Brown DE Adrogue | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 19 |
| 20 | Brown DE Adrogue | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 20 | 34 | 32 |
| 21 | Villa San Carlos | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 27 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villa San Carlos vs Brown DE Adrogue?
- The Footlab model makes Villa San Carlos the favourite at 41%, against 34% for a draw and 26% for Brown DE Adrogue.
- Where and when is Villa San Carlos vs Brown DE Adrogue played?
- Villa San Carlos vs Brown DE Adrogue is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Genancio Sálice, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Villa DalminevsArsenal Sarandi
- Sep 5, 2026UAI UrquizavsArgentino de Merlo
- Sep 5, 2026Real PilarvsTalleres Remedios
- Sep 5, 2026Dock SudvsComunicaciones
- Sep 5, 2026Deportivo CamionerosvsArgentino Quilmes
- Sep 5, 2026Deportivo MerlovsDefensores Unidos
- Sep 5, 2026ExcursionistasvsItuzaingó
- Sep 5, 2026San Martín BurzacovsDeportivo Armenio