Deportivo San Pedro vs Malacateco: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Deportivo San Pedro the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Malacateco. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo San Pedro vs Malacateco?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Deportivo San Pedro (1,514) and Malacateco (1,594).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Deportivo San Pedro have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Malacateco have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Malacateco(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Aurora(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Suchitepéquez(home) | 3-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Comunicaciones(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Xelajú(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Deportivo San Pedro(home) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Comunicaciones(away) | 2-4 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Xelajú(home) | 2-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Guastatoya(away) | 0-4 | Liga Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Cobán Imperial(home) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Deportivo San Pedro win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Malacateco win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Malacateco 2-0 Deportivo San Pedro | Liga Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Malacateco vs Deportivo San Pedro on Aug 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo San Pedro score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 5; Malacateco score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo San Pedro | 1.2 | 0.8 | 2 | 1/5 | 2/5 |
| Malacateco | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Malacateco | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 25 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo San Pedro vs Malacateco?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo San Pedro the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Malacateco.
- Where and when is Deportivo San Pedro vs Malacateco played?
- Deportivo San Pedro vs Malacateco is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.