Mixco vs Malacateco: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalRegular Season - 21Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Julio Armando Cóbar, San Miguel Petapa
The Footlab AI model makes Mixco the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Malacateco. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mixco vs Malacateco?
On Elo ratings, Mixco has 1,668 points and Malacateco 1,600.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mixco vs Malacateco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mixco
4-3-3- 10G. Arce
- 18J. Bolanos
- 99N. Martinez
- 9L. García
- 26Jerry
- 17F. Cuero
- 6C. Jiménez
- 33J. Sotomayor
- 14Rodrigo Marroquin
- 5D. Méndez
- 30K. Moscoso
Malacateco
4-3-3- 10J. Ochoa
- 11N. Andrade
- 29E. Quiñónes
- 17R. Meneses
- 55A. Soto
- II. de Leon
- MM. Chun
- 5J. Esqueda
- HH. Cummings
- 16A. Morales
- AA. Guzman
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mixco have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Malacateco have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Suchitepéquez(away) | 3-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Antigua GFC(home) | 3-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Malacateco(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Aurora(home) | 3-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Deportivo San Pedro(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Guastatoya(home) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cobán Imperial(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Marquense(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Mixco(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Municipal(away) | 2-2 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Mixco wins, 0 draws, 2 Malacateco wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2026 | Malacateco 1-0 Mixco | Liga Nacional |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Malacateco 1-2 Mixco | Liga Nacional |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Mixco 1-0 Malacateco | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Mixco 4-1 Malacateco | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Malacateco 1-2 Mixco | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Malacateco 2-1 Mixco | Liga Nacional |
How many goals should we expect?
Mixco score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Malacateco score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mixco | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Malacateco | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mixco sit 3rd in Liga Nacional (36 points from 22 matches) and Malacateco sit 10th (22 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mixco | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 36 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 25 | 22 |
A question about Mixco vs Malacateco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mixco vs Malacateco?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mixco the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Malacateco.
- Where and when is Mixco vs Malacateco played?
- Mixco vs Malacateco is played on November 15, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Julio Armando Cóbar, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.