Guastatoya vs Mixco: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio David Cordón Hichos, Guastatoya
The Footlab AI model makes Guastatoya the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Mixco. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guastatoya vs Mixco?
On Elo ratings, Guastatoya has 1,684 points and Mixco 1,670.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Guastatoya vs Mixco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Guastatoya
4-3-3- 22V. Avalos
- 13Á. Tejeda
- 25G. O. Cruz
- 18N. Lovato
- 7J. Almanza
- 10M. Sequén
- 32B. Lemus
- 33A. Contreras
- 44E. Yori
- 23V. Armas
- 1R. Escobar
Mixco
4-3-3- 10G. Arce
- 99N. Martinez
- 18J. Bolanos
- 11Y. Pozuelos
- 9L. García
- 26Jerry
- 5D. Méndez
- 6C. Jiménez
- 33J. Sotomayor
- 16J. Urizar
- 30K. Moscoso
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 03:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guastatoya have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Mixco have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Aurora(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Deportivo San Pedro(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Comunicaciones(away) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Xelajú(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Suchitepéquez(away) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Antigua GFC(home) | 3-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Malacateco(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Aurora(home) | 3-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Deportivo San Pedro(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Comunicaciones(home) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Guastatoya wins, 0 draws, 3 Mixco wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mixco 4-2 Guastatoya | Liga Nacional |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Mixco 1-0 Guastatoya | Liga Nacional |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Guastatoya 2-0 Mixco | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Guastatoya 1-0 Mixco | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Mixco 2-0 Guastatoya | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Guastatoya 1-0 Mixco | Liga Nacional |
How many goals should we expect?
Guastatoya score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mixco score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guastatoya | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Mixco | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guastatoya sit 7th in Liga Nacional (31 points from 22 matches) and Mixco sit 3rd (36 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mixco | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 36 |
| 7 | Guastatoya | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 31 |
A question about Guastatoya vs Mixco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guastatoya vs Mixco?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guastatoya the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Mixco.
- Where and when is Guastatoya vs Mixco played?
- Guastatoya vs Mixco is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio David Cordón Hichos, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.