Suchitepéquez vs Aurora: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Carlos Salazar Hijo, Mazatenango
The Footlab AI model makes Suchitepéquez the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Aurora. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Suchitepéquez vs Aurora?
On Elo ratings, Suchitepéquez has 1,542 points and Aurora 1,578.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Suchitepéquez vs Aurora
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Suchitepéquez
4-3-3- 7A. Lezcano
- 10F. González
- 9D. Padilla Toro
- 17M. Rivas
- 18A. Zamorano
- 99F. Montaño
- 21M. Icute
- 14W. Diaz
- 28J. Corena
- 4V. Torres
- 22Jussef Delgado
Aurora
4-3-3- 31V. Urias
- 13H. Morales
- 12Paulo Motta
- 17D. Bajan
- 10J. Vivas
- 18J. Grajeda
- 4C. Monterroso
- 3Marcos Antonio Acosta Rojas
- 15K. Garcia
- 5J. Lemus
- 22L. Sanchez
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 01:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Suchitepéquez have 1 win, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Aurora have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mixco(home) | 3-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Comunicaciones(away) | 0-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Municipal(away) | 0-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Xelajú(home) | 2-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Antigua GFC(away) | 2-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Xelajú(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Guastatoya(away) | 1-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cobán Imperial(away) | 2-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Marquense(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mixco(away) | 2-3 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Suchitepéquez wins, 1 draw, 2 Aurora wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aurora 3-2 Suchitepéquez | Liga Nacional |
| May 6, 2024 | Suchitepéquez 3-1 Aurora | Primera Division |
| May 2, 2024 | Aurora 1-1 Suchitepéquez | Primera Division |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Suchitepéquez 0-1 Aurora | Primera Division |
| Nov 16, 2023 | Aurora 0-1 Suchitepéquez | Primera Division |
| May 14, 2023 | Suchitepéquez 2-0 Aurora | Primera Division |
Last archived meeting: Aurora vs Suchitepéquez on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Suchitepéquez score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aurora score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suchitepéquez | 1.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Aurora | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Aurora | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 20 |
A question about Suchitepéquez vs Aurora?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Suchitepéquez vs Aurora?
- The Footlab AI model makes Suchitepéquez the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 14% for Aurora.
- Where and when is Suchitepéquez vs Aurora played?
- Suchitepéquez vs Aurora is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Carlos Salazar Hijo, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.