Deportivo San Pedro vs Marquense: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Deportivo San Pedro the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Marquense. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo San Pedro vs Marquense?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Deportivo San Pedro (1,510) and Marquense (1,599).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Deportivo San Pedro have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Marquense have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Malacateco(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Aurora(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Suchitepéquez(home) | 3-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Comunicaciones(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Xelajú(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Cobán Imperial(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Suchitepéquez(away) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mixco(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Municipal(home) | 1-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Antigua GFC(away) | 1-3 | Liga Nacional |
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo San Pedro score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 5; Marquense score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo San Pedro | 1.2 | 0.8 | 2 | 1/5 | 2/5 |
| Marquense | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Marquense | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo San Pedro vs Marquense?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo San Pedro the favourite at 63%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Marquense.
- Where and when is Deportivo San Pedro vs Marquense played?
- Deportivo San Pedro vs Marquense is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.