Malacateco vs Municipal: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Santa Lucía, Malacatán
The Footlab AI model makes Municipal the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Malacateco. The most likely score is 1-1. If Municipal wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malacateco vs Municipal?
Municipal starts as the favourite with a 239-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,600).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Malacateco vs Municipal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Malacateco
4-3-3- 10J. Ochoa
- 11N. Andrade
- 29E. Quiñónes
- 17R. Meneses
- 55A. Soto
- II. de Leon
- MM. Chun
- 5J. Esqueda
- HH. Cummings
- 16A. Morales
- AA. Guzman
Municipal
4-3-3- 32E. López
- 33A. Cabeza
- 11J. Bantes
- 19C. Hernández
- 92J. Méndez
- 43Y. Pérez
- 52A. David
- 5C. Raymundo
- 4N. Samayoa
- 16J. Morales
- 1B. Linares
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malacateco have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Municipal have 7, 7 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Guastatoya(home) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cobán Imperial(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Marquense(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Mixco(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Municipal(away) | 2-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Marquense(home) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Antigua GFC(away) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Suchitepéquez(home) | 3-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Malacateco(home) | 2-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Aurora(away) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Malacateco wins, 1 draw, 5 Municipal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | Municipal 2-2 Malacateco | Liga Nacional |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Municipal 1-0 Malacateco | Liga Nacional |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Malacateco 1-3 Municipal | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Municipal 4-1 Malacateco | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Malacateco 2-3 Municipal | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Malacateco 0-1 Municipal | Liga Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Municipal vs Malacateco on Sep 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Malacateco score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Municipal score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malacateco | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Municipal | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malacateco sit 10th in Liga Nacional (22 points from 22 matches) and Municipal sit 2nd (38 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Municipal | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 38 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 25 | 22 |
A question about Malacateco vs Municipal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malacateco vs Municipal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Municipal the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Malacateco.
- Where and when is Malacateco vs Municipal played?
- Malacateco vs Municipal is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Santa Lucía, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.