Xelajú vs Guastatoya: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango
The Footlab AI model makes Xelajú the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Guastatoya. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,778 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Xelajú vs Guastatoya?
On Elo ratings, Xelajú has 1,714 points and Guastatoya 1,656.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Xelajú vs Guastatoya
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Xelajú
4-3-3- 30Oscar de Leon
- 26E. Cardoza
- 29D. Casas
- 16J. Cardona
- 10A. Lopez
- 13W. Tebalán
- 23R. Calderon
- 5E. Monreal
- 25K. Ruiz
- 14J. Gónzalez
- 1D. Silva
Guastatoya
4-3-3- 22V. Avalos
- 13Á. Tejeda
- 25G. O. Cruz
- 88C. Alvarado
- 10M. Sequén
- 14Javier Alexander Estrada Hidalgo
- 32B. Lemus
- 33A. Contreras
- 44E. Yori
- 4B. Morales
- 1R. Escobar
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 10:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Xelajú have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Guastatoya have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Municipal(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Antigua GFC(away) | 0-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Malacateco(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aurora(away) | 1-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Deportivo San Pedro(home) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mixco(home) | 1-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Municipal(away) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Antigua GFC(home) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Malacateco(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Aurora(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Xelajú wins, 2 draws, 2 Guastatoya wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Guastatoya 2-1 Xelajú | Liga Nacional |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Xelajú 1-1 Guastatoya | Liga Nacional |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Guastatoya 1-0 Xelajú | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Guastatoya 1-2 Xelajú | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 18, 2025 | Xelajú 5-0 Guastatoya | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Guastatoya 2-2 Xelajú | Liga Nacional |
How many goals should we expect?
Xelajú score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Guastatoya score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xelajú | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Guastatoya | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Xelajú sit 1st in Liga Nacional (39 points from 22 matches) and Guastatoya sit 7th (31 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xelajú | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 19 | 39 |
| 7 | Guastatoya | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 31 |
A question about Xelajú vs Guastatoya?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Xelajú vs Guastatoya?
- The Footlab AI model makes Xelajú the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Guastatoya.
- Where and when is Xelajú vs Guastatoya played?
- Xelajú vs Guastatoya is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Mario Camposeco, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.