Aurora vs Mixco: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio del Ejército, Ciudad de Guatemala
The Footlab AI model makes Aurora the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Mixco. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aurora wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aurora vs Mixco?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Aurora (1,578) and Mixco (1,668).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aurora vs Mixco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aurora
4-3-3- 31V. Urias
- 13H. Morales
- 12Paulo Motta
- 17D. Bajan
- 10J. Vivas
- 18J. Grajeda
- 4C. Monterroso
- 3Marcos Antonio Acosta Rojas
- 15K. Garcia
- 27C. Flores
- 22L. Sanchez
Mixco
4-3-3- 10G. Arce
- 18J. Bolanos
- 99N. Martinez
- 9L. García
- 26Jerry
- 17F. Cuero
- 6C. Jiménez
- 33J. Sotomayor
- 14Rodrigo Marroquin
- 5D. Méndez
- 30K. Moscoso
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aurora have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Mixco have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Xelajú(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Guastatoya(away) | 1-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cobán Imperial(away) | 2-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Marquense(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mixco(away) | 2-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Suchitepéquez(away) | 3-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Antigua GFC(home) | 3-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Malacateco(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Aurora(home) | 3-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Deportivo San Pedro(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aurora win, 2 draws, 3 Mixco wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mixco 3-2 Aurora | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mixco 4-0 Aurora | Liga Nacional |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Aurora 1-1 Mixco | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Aurora 1-0 Mixco | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Mixco 2-2 Aurora | Liga Nacional |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Aurora 0-1 Mixco | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Aurora score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Mixco score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Mixco | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aurora sit 11th in Liga Nacional (20 points from 22 matches) and Mixco sit 3rd (36 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mixco | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 36 |
| 11 | Aurora | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 20 |
A question about Aurora vs Mixco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aurora vs Mixco?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aurora the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Mixco.
- Where and when is Aurora vs Mixco played?
- Aurora vs Mixco is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio del Ejército, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.