Deportivo Saprissa vs Sporting San Jose: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 11Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá, San Juan de Tíbás (San José)
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Saprissa the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Sporting San Jose. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Saprissa vs Sporting San Jose?
Deportivo Saprissa starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,896 vs 1,731).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Saprissa have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Sporting San Jose have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Inter San Carlos(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | CS Cartagines(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Mixco(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Puntarenas FC(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Alianza FC(home) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | CS Herediano(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Escorpiones Belén(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Boise(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CS Cartagines(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Puntarenas FC(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Deportivo Saprissa win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Sporting San Jose win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026 | Sporting San Jose 1-3 Deportivo Saprissa | Copa Costa Rica |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Deportivo Saprissa 1-2 Sporting San Jose | Primera División |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Sporting San Jose 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa | Primera División |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Sporting San Jose 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa | Primera División |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Deportivo Saprissa 4-0 Sporting San Jose | Primera División |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Sporting San Jose 0-1 Deportivo Saprissa | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Sporting San Jose vs Deportivo Saprissa on Apr 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Saprissa score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting San Jose score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Saprissa | 2.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Sporting San Jose | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Saprissa sit 1st in Primera División (12 points from 5 matches) and Sporting San Jose sit 5th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Saprissa | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Sporting San Jose | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Saprissa vs Sporting San Jose?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Saprissa the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Sporting San Jose.
- Where and when is Deportivo Saprissa vs Sporting San Jose played?
- Deportivo Saprissa vs Sporting San Jose is played on October 14, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.