LD Alajuelense vs CS Herediano: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 11Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, Alajuela
The Footlab model makes LD Alajuelense the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for CS Herediano. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win LD Alajuelense vs CS Herediano?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate LD Alajuelense (1,841) and CS Herediano (1,778).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, LD Alajuelense have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; CS Herediano have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | San Carlos(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Puntarenas FC(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | CS Herediano(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Diriangén(away) | 3-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sporting San Jose(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Real Estelí(away) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | San Carlos(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | LD Alajuelense(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Alianza(away) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 LD Alajuelense win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 CS Herediano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | CS Herediano 0-3 LD Alajuelense | Primera División |
| Jul 12, 2026 | LD Alajuelense 0-1 CS Herediano | Supercopa |
| Mar 22, 2026 | CS Herediano 2-1 LD Alajuelense | Primera División |
| Feb 8, 2026 | LD Alajuelense 1-1 CS Herediano | Primera División |
| Oct 17, 2025 | CS Herediano 1-3 LD Alajuelense | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2025 | LD Alajuelense 0-1 CS Herediano | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: CS Herediano vs LD Alajuelense on Aug 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
LD Alajuelense score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; CS Herediano score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LD Alajuelense | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| CS Herediano | 0.7 | 0.8 | 8 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
LD Alajuelense sit 2nd in Primera División (10 points from 5 matches) and CS Herediano sit 10th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | LD Alajuelense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 10 | CS Herediano | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for LD Alajuelense vs CS Herediano?
- The Footlab model makes LD Alajuelense the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for CS Herediano.
- Where and when is LD Alajuelense vs CS Herediano played?
- LD Alajuelense vs CS Herediano is played on October 14, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.