Derby vs Birmingham: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 39Kick-off on March 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Birmingham?
Derby won 1-0 on March 21, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 43′R. BrewsterDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Birmingham have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Hull City(away) | 2-4 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Mar 11, 2026 | QPR(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Charlton(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Derby win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Birmingham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2025 | Birmingham 1-1 Derby | Championship |
| Jan 30, 2022 | Derby 2-2 Birmingham | Championship |
| Sep 10, 2021 | Birmingham 2-0 Derby | Championship |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Derby 1-2 Birmingham | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2020 | Birmingham 0-4 Derby | Championship |
| Jul 22, 2020 | Birmingham 1-3 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Birmingham score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Birmingham | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 16th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Birmingham sit 13th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Birmingham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy