Birmingham vs Derby: result 1-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 26, 2025 at 12:30 PM (UTC)St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park, Birmingham
Full time
What was the result of Birmingham vs Derby?
Birmingham and Derby drew 1-1 on December 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 27′P. AgyemangDerby
- 64′J. RobinsonBirmingham
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Birmingham have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Derby have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Charlton(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 9, 2025 | QPR(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Southampton(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Watford(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Portsmouth(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Millwall(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Leicester(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Middlesbrough(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Birmingham win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | Derby 2-2 Birmingham | Championship |
| Sep 10, 2021 | Birmingham 2-0 Derby | Championship |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Derby 1-2 Birmingham | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2020 | Birmingham 0-4 Derby | Championship |
| Jul 22, 2020 | Birmingham 1-3 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2019 | Derby 3-2 Birmingham | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Birmingham score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Derby | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Birmingham sit 13th in Championship (2 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Birmingham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy