Birmingham vs Derby: result 1-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 26, 2025 at 12:30 PM (UTC)St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park, Birmingham
Full time
What was the result of Birmingham vs Derby?
Birmingham and Derby drew 1-1 on December 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 27′P. AgyemangDerby
- 64′J. RobinsonBirmingham
Official lineup for Birmingham vs Derby
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Birmingham
4-2-3-1- 33M. Ducksch
- 10D. Gray
- 28J. Stansfield
- 16P. Roberts
- 8Paik Seung-Ho
- 12Marc Henry Leonard
- 41E. Cashin
- 6J. Robinson
- 4C. Klarer
- 24T. Iwata
- 25J. Beadle
Derby
3-4-1-2- 7P. Agyemang
- 10R. Brewster
- 25B. Brereton
- 20C. Elder
- 42B. Clark
- 16L. Thompson
- 23J. Ward
- 5M. Clarke
- 4D. Batth
- 6S. Langås
- 1J. Widell Zetterström
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Birmingham have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Derby have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Charlton(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 9, 2025 | QPR(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Southampton(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Dec 1, 2025 | Watford(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Portsmouth(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Millwall(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Leicester(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Middlesbrough(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Birmingham wins, 1 draw, 3 Derby wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | Derby 2-2 Birmingham | Championship |
| Sep 10, 2021 | Birmingham 2-0 Derby | Championship |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Derby 1-2 Birmingham | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2020 | Birmingham 0-4 Derby | Championship |
| Jul 22, 2020 | Birmingham 1-3 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2019 | Derby 3-2 Birmingham | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Birmingham score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Derby | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Birmingham sit 4th in Championship (17 points from 10 matches) and Derby sit 23rd (6 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 17 |
| 23 | Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 6 |
A question about Birmingham vs Derby?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy