Derby vs Birmingham: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 27, 2016 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Birmingham?
Derby won 1-0 on December 27, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 64′D. BentDerby (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Birmingham have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2016 | Fulham(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Dec 14, 2016 | QPR(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Dec 11, 2016 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Dec 3, 2016 | Wigan(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Nov 26, 2016 | Norwich(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2016 | Brighton(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Dec 13, 2016 | Ipswich(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Dec 10, 2016 | Newcastle(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Dec 3, 2016 | Barnsley(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Nov 26, 2016 | Brentford(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Derby win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Birmingham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2016 | Derby 0-3 Birmingham | Championship |
| Aug 21, 2015 | Birmingham 1-1 Derby | Championship |
| Mar 7, 2015 | Derby 2-2 Birmingham | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2014 | Birmingham 0-4 Derby | Championship |
| Feb 1, 2014 | Birmingham 3-3 Derby | Championship |
| Oct 26, 2013 | Derby 1-1 Birmingham | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Birmingham score 1.3 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.4 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Birmingham | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 16th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Birmingham sit 13th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Birmingham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy