Derby vs Bolton: result 1-0 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 39Kick-off on March 16, 2024 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Bolton?
Derby won 1-0 on March 16, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 78′K. WilsonDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Bolton have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | Reading(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 3-0 | League One |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Port Vale(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Charlton(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Barnsley(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | Oxford United(home) | 5-0 | League One |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Exeter City(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Mar 5, 2024 | Barnsley(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Cambridge United(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Wigan(away) | 0-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Derby win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Bolton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2023 | Bolton 2-1 Derby | League One |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Derby 2-1 Bolton | League One |
| Dec 27, 2022 | Bolton 0-0 Derby | League One |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Derby 4-0 Bolton | Championship |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Bolton 1-0 Derby | Championship |
| Apr 7, 2018 | Derby 3-0 Bolton | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Bolton score 1.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.6 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Bolton | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70 | 52 | 75 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy