Derby vs Cheltenham: result 2-1 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 30Kick-off on January 27, 2024 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Cheltenham?
Derby won 2-1 on January 27, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 50′L. SercombeCheltenham
- 60′M. BirdDerby
- 81′J. CollinsDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Cheltenham have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | Reading(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Lincoln(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Jan 15, 2024 | Burton Albion(home) | 3-2 | League One |
| Jan 9, 2024 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | Bolton(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Portsmouth(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Jan 1, 2024 | Northampton(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Dec 29, 2023 | Reading(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Shrewsbury(home) | 2-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Derby win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Cheltenham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2023 | Cheltenham 1-1 Derby | League One |
| Feb 28, 2023 | Derby 2-0 Cheltenham | League One |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Cheltenham 2-3 Derby | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cheltenham score 1.2 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Cheltenham | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy