Derby vs Crewe: result 1-3 and analysis
FA Cup1st Round ReplaysKick-off on November 14, 2023 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Crewe?
Crewe won 1-3 on November 14, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 3′T. BarkhuizenDerby
- 7′A. RoweCrewe
- 21′A. RoweCrewe
- 65′M. DemetriouCrewe
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Crewe have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2023 | Barnsley(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Nov 8, 2023 | Wolves U21(home) | 4-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Crewe(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2023 | Northampton(home) | 4-0 | League One |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Stevenage(away) | 1-3 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2023 | Notts County(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Derby(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Harrogate Town(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2023 | Stockport County(home) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Crawley Town(away) | 4-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Derby win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Crewe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2023 | Crewe 2-2 Derby | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Crewe score 1.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Crewe | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy