Forest Green vs Scarborough Athletic: result 5-2 and analysis
FA Cup1st Round ReplaysKick-off on November 14, 2023 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Bolt New Lawn, Nailsworth, Gloucestershire
Full time
What was the result of Forest Green vs Scarborough Athletic?
Forest Green won 5-2 on November 14, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 5′T. JenksForest Green
- 18′K. McAllisterForest Green (pen.)
- 30′J. RobsonForest Green
- 35′H. BunkerForest Green
- 41′A. WilesScarborough Athletic
- 76′T. OmotoyeForest Green
- 89′M. CoulsonScarborough Athletic
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forest Green have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Scarborough Athletic have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2023 | Tranmere(away) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Nov 7, 2023 | Brighton U21(home) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Crawley Town(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2023 | Barrow(home) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Colchester(home) | 5-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2023 | Alfreton Town(away) | 3-1 | National League - North |
| Nov 7, 2023 | Chorley(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Tamworth(away) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2023 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Buxton(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
How many goals should we expect?
Forest Green score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Scarborough Athletic score 1.6 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forest Green | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Scarborough Athletic | 1.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy