Derby vs Luton: result 0-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 43Kick-off on April 18, 2025 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Luton?
Luton won 0-1 on April 18, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 10′M. AlliLuton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Luton have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Burnley(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Swansea(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Preston(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Plymouth(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | Blackburn(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Stoke City(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Leeds(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Hull City(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Middlesbrough(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Derby win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Luton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2024 | Luton 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Luton 1-0 Derby | Championship |
| Oct 19, 2021 | Derby 2-2 Luton | Championship |
| Apr 2, 2021 | Derby 2-0 Luton | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Luton 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Jan 28, 2020 | Luton 3-2 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Luton score 0.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Luton | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Derby | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy