Watford vs Burnley: result 1-2 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 43Kick-off on April 18, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Vicarage Road, Watford
Full time
What was the result of Watford vs Burnley?
Burnley won 1-2 on April 18, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 8′M. DoumbiaWatford
- 43′Z. FlemmingBurnley
- 58′J. BrownhillBurnley
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Watford have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Burnley have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | West Brom(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Hull City(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Bristol City(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Plymouth(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Oxford United(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2025 | Norwich(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Derby(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Coventry(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Bristol City(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Swansea(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Watford win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Burnley win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | Burnley 2-1 Watford | Championship |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Burnley 1-1 Watford | Championship |
| Aug 12, 2022 | Watford 1-0 Burnley | Championship |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Watford 1-2 Burnley | Premier League |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Burnley 0-0 Watford | Premier League |
| Jun 25, 2020 | Burnley 1-0 Watford | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Watford score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Burnley score 1.5 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 0.8 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Burnley | 1.5 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Watford sit 6th in Championship (3 points from 1 matches) and Burnley sit 11th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Watford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Burnley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy