Derby vs Middlesbrough: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Middlesbrough?
Derby won 1-0 on January 1, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 70′B. ClarkDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Middlesbrough have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | Leicester(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Birmingham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Portsmouth(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Millwall(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | Hull City(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Blackburn(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Bristol City(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Dec 13, 2025 | QPR(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Charlton(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Derby win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Middlesbrough win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Middlesbrough 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Middlesbrough 1-0 Derby | Championship |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Derby 1-0 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Middlesbrough 4-1 Derby | Championship |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Derby 0-0 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Derby 2-1 Middlesbrough | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Middlesbrough vs Derby on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Middlesbrough score 1.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Middlesbrough | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 17th in Championship (0 points from 1 matches) and Middlesbrough sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Derby | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy