Middlesbrough vs Derby: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 29, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Full time
What was the result of Middlesbrough vs Derby?
Middlesbrough won 2-1 on November 29, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 2′P. AgyemangDerby
- 75′M. TargettMiddlesbrough
- 84′M. WhittakerMiddlesbrough
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Middlesbrough have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Derby have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2025 | Coventry(home) | 2-4 | Championship |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Oxford United(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Birmingham(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Leicester(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Watford(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2025 | Swansea(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Watford(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Blackburn(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Hull City(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Middlesbrough win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | Middlesbrough 1-0 Derby | Championship |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Derby 1-0 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Middlesbrough 4-1 Derby | Championship |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Derby 0-0 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Derby 2-1 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Nov 25, 2020 | Middlesbrough 3-0 Derby | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Middlesbrough vs Derby on Mar 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Middlesbrough score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | 1.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Derby | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Middlesbrough sit 4th in Championship (3 points from 1 matches) and Derby sit 17th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Derby | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy