Derby vs Millwall: result 0-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 34Kick-off on February 22, 2025 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Millwall?
Millwall won 0-1 on February 22, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 90′J. CoburnMillwall
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Millwall have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2025 | QPR(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Oxford United(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Norwich(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Cardiff(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2025 | Preston(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Feb 15, 2025 | West Brom(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Plymouth(away) | 1-5 | Championship |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Leeds(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Feb 1, 2025 | QPR(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Derby win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Millwall win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | Millwall 1-1 Derby | Championship |
| Feb 23, 2022 | Derby 1-2 Millwall | Championship |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Millwall 1-1 Derby | Championship |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Derby 0-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Dec 5, 2020 | Millwall 0-1 Derby | Championship |
| Jun 20, 2020 | Millwall 2-3 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Millwall score 1.2 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 0.8 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Millwall | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 16th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Millwall sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy