Derby vs Millwall: result 0-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 34Kick-off on March 8, 2014 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Millwall?
Millwall won 0-1 on March 8, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 61′Steve MorisonMillwall
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Millwall have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2014 | Burnley(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Feb 22, 2014 | Bournemouth(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Feb 18, 2014 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Feb 10, 2014 | QPR(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Feb 1, 2014 | Birmingham(away) | 3-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2014 | Brighton(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Feb 22, 2014 | Barnsley(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Feb 15, 2014 | Bolton(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Feb 11, 2014 | Yeovil Town(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Feb 8, 2014 | Burnley(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Derby win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Millwall win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2013 | Millwall 1-5 Derby | Championship |
| May 4, 2013 | Derby 1-0 Millwall | Championship |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Millwall 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Feb 11, 2012 | Millwall 0-0 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Derby 3-0 Millwall | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Millwall score 0.6 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Millwall | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 16th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Millwall sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy