Millwall vs Derby: result 1-5 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 14, 2013 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Den, London
Full time
What was the result of Millwall vs Derby?
Derby won 1-5 on September 14, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 9′Jake BuxtonDerby
- 45′Craig James BrysonDerby
- 57′Craig James BrysonDerby
- 75′M. WaghornMillwall
- 81′Craig James BrysonDerby
- 87′M. BennettDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millwall have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Derby have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2013 | Brighton(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 28, 2013 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 24, 2013 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 17, 2013 | Huddersfield(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Aug 10, 2013 | Ipswich(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2013 | Burnley(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Aug 27, 2013 | Brentford(home) | 5-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 24, 2013 | Yeovil Town(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Aug 17, 2013 | Leicester(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Aug 10, 2013 | Brighton(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Millwall win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2013 | Derby 1-0 Millwall | Championship |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Millwall 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Feb 11, 2012 | Millwall 0-0 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Derby 3-0 Millwall | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Millwall score 0.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Derby | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Millwall sit 1st in Championship (6 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy