Derby vs Millwall: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 46Kick-off on May 4, 2013 at 11:45 AM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Millwall?
Derby won 1-0 on May 4, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 85′C. SammonDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Millwall have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | Blackpool(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Apr 20, 2013 | Peterborough(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Apr 16, 2013 | Barnsley(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Apr 13, 2013 | Blackburn(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Apr 6, 2013 | Ipswich(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2013 | Crystal Palace(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Apr 27, 2013 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Apr 23, 2013 | Blackburn(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Apr 20, 2013 | Huddersfield(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Apr 16, 2013 | Watford(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Derby win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Millwall win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2012 | Millwall 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Feb 11, 2012 | Millwall 0-0 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Derby 3-0 Millwall | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Millwall score 0.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Millwall | 0.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 16th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Millwall sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy