Derby vs Millwall: result 0-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 29Kick-off on February 20, 2019 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Millwall?
Millwall won 0-1 on February 20, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 72′J. WallaceMillwall
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Millwall have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2019 | Brighton(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Feb 13, 2019 | Ipswich(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Feb 9, 2019 | Hull City(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Feb 1, 2019 | Preston(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Jan 26, 2019 | Accrington ST(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2019 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Feb 12, 2019 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Feb 9, 2019 | Swansea(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Feb 2, 2019 | Rotherham(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Jan 26, 2019 | Everton(home) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Derby win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Millwall win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2018 | Millwall 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Jan 30, 2018 | Millwall 0-0 Derby | Championship |
| Dec 23, 2017 | Derby 3-0 Millwall | Championship |
| Apr 25, 2015 | Millwall 3-3 Derby | Championship |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Derby 0-0 Millwall | Championship |
| Mar 8, 2014 | Derby 0-1 Millwall | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Millwall score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Millwall | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 16th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Millwall sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy