Derby vs Southampton: result 1-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 15, 2011 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Southampton?
Derby and Southampton drew 1-1 on October 15, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 3′T. RobinsonDerby
- 61′Rickie LambertSouthampton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Derby have 6 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Southampton have 10, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2011 | Leicester(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2011 | Barnsley(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Millwall(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Coventry(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2011 | Watford(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2011 | Cardiff(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Burnley(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 21, 2011 | Preston(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 18, 2011 | Birmingham(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 11; Southampton score 2.6 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/11 | 7/11 |
| Southampton | 2.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/13 | 10/13 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 16th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Southampton sit 24th (-1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 24 | Southampton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy