Derby vs Stoke City: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 18, 2021 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Stoke City?
Derby won 2-1 on September 18, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 31′M. BirdDerby
- 34′C. DaviesDerby
- 58′T. InceStoke City
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Stoke City have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2021 | West Brom(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 10, 2021 | Birmingham(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 24, 2021 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Middlesbrough(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2021 | Barnsley(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Huddersfield(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Fulham(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Aug 24, 2021 | Doncaster(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Derby win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Stoke City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2021 | Stoke City 1-0 Derby | Championship |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Derby 0-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Jan 31, 2020 | Derby 4-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Aug 17, 2019 | Stoke City 2-2 Derby | Championship |
| Mar 13, 2019 | Derby 0-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Nov 28, 2018 | Stoke City 2-1 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stoke City score 1.9 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Stoke City | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 16th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Stoke City sit 21st (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 21 | Stoke City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy