Watford vs Derby: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 24, 2024 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Vicarage Road, Watford
Full time
What was the result of Watford vs Derby?
Watford won 2-1 on August 24, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 2′E. AdamsDerby
- 31′V. BayoWatford
- 76′M. SissokoWatford
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Watford have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Derby have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2024 | Stoke City(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 5-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Millwall(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Brentford(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2024 | Wycombe(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2024 | Middlesbrough(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Chesterfield(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 9, 2024 | Blackburn(away) | 2-4 | Championship |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Valladolid(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Barnsley(away) | 3-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Watford win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2021 | Watford 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Oct 16, 2020 | Derby 0-1 Watford | Championship |
| Apr 3, 2015 | Derby 2-2 Watford | Championship |
| Nov 22, 2014 | Watford 1-2 Derby | Championship |
| Apr 26, 2014 | Derby 4-2 Watford | Championship |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Watford 2-3 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Watford score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.6 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 1.6 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Derby | 1.6 | 1.4 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Watford sit 7th in Championship (4 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy