Watford vs Derby: result 2-3 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 19, 2013 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Vicarage Road, Rhydmwyn, Flintshire
Full time
What was the result of Watford vs Derby?
Derby won 2-3 on October 19, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 8′Jamie John WardDerby
- 12′F. ForestieriWatford
- 45′Jamie John WardDerby
- 68′Lewis McGuganWatford
- 88′C. SammonDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Watford have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Derby have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2013 | Huddersfield(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 1, 2013 | Blackburn(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Wigan(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2013 | Norwich(home) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 21, 2013 | Barnsley(away) | 5-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2013 | Leeds(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 1, 2013 | Ipswich(home) | 4-4 | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2013 | Leicester(away) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 21, 2013 | Reading(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Watford win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2013 | Watford 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Derby 5-1 Watford | Championship |
| Mar 10, 2012 | Derby 1-2 Watford | Championship |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Watford 0-1 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Watford score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Derby | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Watford sit 7th in Championship (4 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy