Watford vs Derby: result 2-3 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 19, 2013 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Vicarage Road, Rhydmwyn, Flintshire
Full time
What was the result of Watford vs Derby?
Derby won 2-3 on October 19, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 8′Jamie John WardDerby
- 12′F. ForestieriWatford
- 45′Jamie John WardDerby
- 68′Lewis McGuganWatford
- 88′C. SammonDerby
Official lineup for Watford vs Derby
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Watford
- 11F. Forestieri
- 20D. Fabbrini
- 8J. McEachran
- 10Lewis McGugan
- 23Iriney Santos Da Silva
- 4G. Angella
- 5Essaïd Belkalem
- 6J. Ekstrand
- 18Daniel Pudil
- 27Marco Cassetti
- 1Manuel Almunia Rivero
Derby
- 9C. Martin
- 10Jamie John Ward
- 20M. Bennett
- 4Craig James Bryson
- 14J. Eustace
- 19W. Hughes
- 2A. Smith
- 3C. Forsyth
- 6R. Keogh
- 27Zak Whitbread
- 1Lee Grant
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Watford have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Derby have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2013 | Huddersfield(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 1, 2013 | Blackburn(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Wigan(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2013 | Norwich(home) | 2-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 21, 2013 | Barnsley(away) | 5-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2013 | Leeds(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 1, 2013 | Ipswich(home) | 4-4 | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2013 | Leicester(away) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 21, 2013 | Reading(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Watford wins, 0 draws, 2 Derby wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2013 | Watford 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Derby 5-1 Watford | Championship |
| Mar 10, 2012 | Derby 1-2 Watford | Championship |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Watford 0-1 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Watford score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.9 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Derby | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Watford sit 22nd in Championship (8 points from 10 matches) and Derby sit 23rd (6 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 6 |
A question about Watford vs Derby?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy