Deren vs Ulaanbaatar: result 1-0 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 21, 2023 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Football Centre MFF, Ulan Bator (Ulaanbaatar)
Full time
What was the result of Deren vs Ulaanbaatar?
Deren won 1-0 on October 21, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 38′?Deren
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deren have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ulaanbaatar have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2023 | Bayanzürkh Sporting(away) | 6-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 29, 2023 | Bavarians(home) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Falcons(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 22, 2023 | Khangarid(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2023 | Erchim(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2023 | Taichung Futuro(home) | 0-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Central Stallions(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 28, 2023 | Khovd(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2023 | Tainan City(home) | 3-1 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Khoromkhon(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Deren wins, 0 draws, 3 Ulaanbaatar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2023 | Ulaanbaatar 4-2 Deren | Premier League |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Deren 1-0 Ulaanbaatar | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Ulaanbaatar 2-0 Deren | Premier League |
| Jun 19, 2022 | Ulaanbaatar 2-3 Deren | Premier League |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Deren 2-3 Ulaanbaatar | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Deren score 2.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ulaanbaatar score 2.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deren | 2.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Ulaanbaatar | 2.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deren sit 3rd in Premier League (17 points from 8 matches) and Ulaanbaatar sit 2nd (19 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ulaanbaatar | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Deren | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 9 | 17 |
A question about Deren vs Ulaanbaatar?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy