Derthona vs Bra: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Fausto Coppi, Tortona
The Footlab AI model makes Derthona the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Bra. The most likely score is 1-1. If Derthona wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,390 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Derthona vs Bra?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Derthona (1,597) and Bra (1,651).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Derthona vs Bra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Derthona
Not enough data to predict the Derthona lineup.
Bra
4-3-3- 11I. Sinani
- 92E. Baldini
- 47M. La Marca
- 77A. Brambilla
- 14G. Lionetti
- 8S. Tuzza
- 31E. De Santis
- 6R. Sganzerla
- 20L. Milani
- 2D. Lia
- 1D. Franzini
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derthona have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Bra have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Chisola(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Alessandria(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Saluzzo(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Millesimo(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ligorna(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Saluzzo(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Celle Varazze(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sanremese(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Borgosesia(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Biellese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Derthona win, 0 draws, 5 Bra wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | Bra 2-0 Derthona | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 2, 2024 | Derthona 0-4 Bra | Serie D - Girone A |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Bra 1-2 Derthona | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Derthona 0-1 Bra | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Bra 2-1 Derthona | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Feb 8, 2023 | Derthona 0-1 Bra | Serie D - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Derthona score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bra score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derthona | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Bra | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derthona sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone A (11 points from 6 matches) and Bra sit 16th (5 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Derthona | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 16 | Bra | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 |
A question about Derthona vs Bra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Derthona vs Bra?
- The Footlab AI model makes Derthona the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Bra.
- Where and when is Derthona vs Bra played?
- Derthona vs Bra is played on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Fausto Coppi, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.