Ligorna vs Valenzana: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Ligorna, Genova
The Footlab AI model makes Ligorna the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Valenzana. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ligorna vs Valenzana?
Ligorna starts as the favourite with a 209-point Elo edge (1,878 vs 1,669).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ligorna vs Valenzana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ligorna
Not enough data to predict the Ligorna lineup.
Valenzana
Not enough data to predict the Valenzana lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 11:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ligorna have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Valenzana have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Bra(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gozzano(away) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Saluzzo(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Chisola(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Celle Varazze(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Biellese(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sanremese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Saluzzo(home) | 3-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Fezzanese(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Borgosesia(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ligorna win, 0 draws, 1 Valenzana win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Valenzana 1-0 Ligorna | Serie D - Girone A |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Ligorna 2-0 Valenzana | Serie D - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Ligorna score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Valenzana score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligorna | 2.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Valenzana | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ligorna sit 5th in Serie D - Girone A (13 points from 8 matches) and Valenzana sit 17th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ligorna | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 13 |
| 17 | Valenzana | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 5 |
A question about Ligorna vs Valenzana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ligorna vs Valenzana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ligorna the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Valenzana.
- Where and when is Ligorna vs Valenzana played?
- Ligorna vs Valenzana is played on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Ligorna, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.