Match

Lecco vs Renate: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 19Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco

LeccoRenate

The Footlab model makes Renate the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Lecco. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lecco vs Renate?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Lecco (1,771) and Renate (1,815).

Lecco win31 %
Draw29 %
Renate win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lecco have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Renate have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lecco
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Arzignano Valchiampo(home)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Aug 16, 2026Desenzano Calvina(home)0-0Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 8, 2026Atalanta II(home)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 2, 2026Hellas Verona(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
May 20, 2026Catania(away)3-3Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
Renate
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Alcione(away)1-3Serie C - Girone A
Aug 15, 2026Lumezzane(away)2-2Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 8, 2026Città di Varese(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
May 13, 2026Casarano(home)0-3Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
May 10, 2026Casarano(away)2-0Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lecco win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Renate win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 3, 2026Lecco 0-3 RenateSerie C - Girone A
Oct 25, 2025Renate 0-1 LeccoSerie C - Girone A
Feb 15, 2025Renate 1-0 LeccoSerie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2024Lecco 0-2 RenateSerie C - Girone A
Apr 3, 2023Renate 0-2 LeccoSerie C - Girone A
Nov 30, 2022Lecco 1-0 RenateSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Lecco vs Renate on Mar 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lecco score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Renate score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lecco1.31.358/158/15
Renate1.71.368/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lecco sit 11th in Serie C - Girone A (1 points from 1 matches) and Renate sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Lecco1010001
16Renate1001130

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lecco vs Renate?
The Footlab model makes Renate the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Lecco.
Where and when is Lecco vs Renate played?
Lecco vs Renate is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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