Lecco vs Renate: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 19Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco
The Footlab AI model makes Lecco the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Renate. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lecco wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lecco vs Renate?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Lecco (1,712) and Renate (1,695).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lecco vs Renate
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lecco
4-3-3- 15Alexander Murillo
- 10A. Capello
- 30N. Fasan
- 17G. Pellegrino
- 6A. Mallamo
- 21A. Metlika
- 5M. Arena
- 99Giulio Manenti
- 45M. Rizzo
- 4P. Comi
- 22T. Vettorel
Renate
4-3-3- 92N. Anelli
- 9Ó. Karlsson
- 71P. Ruiz Giraldo
- 11A. Delcarro
- 25F. Vassallo
- 17A. Bonetti
- 5S. Auriletto
- 13A. Moțoc
- 4F. Vigano
- 2R. De Zen
- 30M. Avella
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lecco have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Renate have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alcione(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Union Brescia(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pergolettese(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Desenzano Calvina(away) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Giana Erminio(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ospitaletto(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Treviso(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lecco wins, 0 draws, 3 Renate wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | Lecco 0-3 Renate | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Renate 0-1 Lecco | Serie C - Girone A |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Renate 1-0 Lecco | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Lecco 0-2 Renate | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 3, 2023 | Renate 0-2 Lecco | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 30, 2022 | Lecco 1-0 Renate | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Lecco score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Renate score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lecco | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Renate | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lecco sit 12th in Serie C - Girone A (10 points from 9 matches) and Renate sit 20th (4 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lecco | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 10 |
| 20 | Renate | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 4 |
A question about Lecco vs Renate?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lecco vs Renate?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lecco the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Renate.
- Where and when is Lecco vs Renate played?
- Lecco vs Renate is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Dec 20, 2026Giana ErminiovsArzignano Valchiampo
- Dec 20, 2026Folgore CaratesevsOspitaletto
- Dec 20, 2026TrentovsNovara
- Dec 20, 2026Desenzano CalvinavsCittadella
- Dec 20, 2026Dolomiti BellunesivsPergolettese
- Dec 20, 2026AlcionevsJuventus U23
- Dec 20, 2026TrevisovsAthletic Carpi