Match

Pergolettese vs Cittadella: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 20Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, Crema

PergoletteseCittadella

The Footlab AI model makes Cittadella the favourite at 52%, against 30% for a draw and 18% for Pergolettese. The most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pergolettese vs Cittadella?

Cittadella starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,690).

18%30%52%
Pergolettese winDrawCittadella win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Pergolettese vs Cittadella

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Pergolettese

4-3-3
  1. 10D. Ferrandino
  2. 49E. Zaia
  3. 7A. Pala
  1. 4M. Arini
  2. 20M. Tremolada
  3. 80Z. Jaohuari
  1. 5T. Silvestri
  2. 76L. Roversi
  3. 15C. Dell'Orco
  4. 73E. Bassi
  1. 22F. Doldi

Cittadella

4-3-3
  1. 10M. Antonucci
  2. 16J. Ekuban
  3. 7E. Anastasia
  1. 4F. Toffanin
  2. 23L. Paolucci
  3. 19F. D'Alessio
  1. 43A. Ndrecka
  2. 87B. Martella
  3. 24M. Gobbato
  4. 14C. Crialese
  1. 69A. Zanellati

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:55 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pergolettese have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; Cittadella have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pergolettese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Athletic Carpi(home)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Oct 3, 2026Arzignano Valchiampo(away)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 26, 2026Trento(home)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Lecco(away)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Sep 17, 2026Folgore Caratese(home)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Cittadella
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Novara(away)2-0Serie C - Girone A
Oct 3, 2026Albinoleffe(home)1-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 26, 2026Lecco(home)3-0Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Ospitaletto(away)1-0Serie C - Girone A
Sep 17, 2026Juventus U23(home)2-0Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Pergolettese win, 1 draw, 1 Cittadella win.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Cittadella 2-0 PergoletteseSerie C - Girone A
Jan 17, 2026Cittadella 3-3 PergoletteseSerie C - Girone A
Sep 6, 2025Pergolettese 3-1 CittadellaSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Cittadella vs Pergolettese on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pergolettese score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cittadella score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pergolettese0.70.884/155/15
Cittadella1.70.786/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pergolettese sit 11th in Serie C - Girone A (11 points from 9 matches) and Cittadella sit 1st (24 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Cittadella980116424
11Pergolettese92525611

A question about Pergolettese vs Cittadella?

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pergolettese vs Cittadella?
The Footlab AI model makes Cittadella the favourite at 52%, against 30% for a draw and 18% for Pergolettese.
Where and when is Pergolettese vs Cittadella played?
Pergolettese vs Cittadella is played on January 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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