Match

Trento vs Novara: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 19Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Briamasco, Trento

TrentoNovara

The Footlab AI model makes Trento the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for Novara. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,937 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Trento vs Novara?

Trento starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,879 vs 1,767).

45%31%24%
Trento winDrawNovara win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Trento vs Novara

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Trento

4-3-3
  1. 9J. I. Molina
  2. 21M. Ladisa
  3. 7N. Dalmonte
  1. 23C. Aucelli
  2. 6M. Fossati
  3. 14Andrea Sodero
  1. 18F. Benassai
  2. 44M. Maffei
  3. 3Roberto D'Intino
  4. 5S. Kassama
  1. 1S. Barlocco

Novara

4-3-3
  1. 14M. Romano
  2. 20M. Da Graca
  3. 9D. Zuppel
  1. 99G. Basso
  2. 19R. Collodel
  3. 23E. Zambataro
  1. 28A. Cannavaro
  2. 70A. Valdesi
  3. 15O. Khailoti
  4. 5F. Lorenzini
  1. 33F. Brancolini

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 07:20 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trento have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Novara have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Trento
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 19, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(away)3-0Serie C - Girone A
Oct 11, 2026Folgore Caratese(home)1-0Serie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2026Alcione(away)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 26, 2026Pergolettese(away)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Sep 21, 2026PRO Vercelli(home)4-0Serie C - Girone A
Novara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Albinoleffe(away)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 10, 2026Cittadella(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(away)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 26, 2026Ospitaletto(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Athletic Carpi(home)2-2Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Trento win, 3 draws, 2 Novara wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 17, 2026Trento 1-1 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Sep 7, 2025Novara 1-1 TrentoSerie C - Girone A
Apr 18, 2025Novara 3-0 TrentoSerie C - Girone A
Dec 6, 2024Trento 1-3 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Jan 21, 2024Trento 1-1 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Sep 17, 2023Novara 0-3 TrentoSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Trento vs Novara on Jan 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Trento score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Novara score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Trento1.30.876/158/15
Novara1.11.147/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Trento sit 2nd in Serie C - Girone A (20 points from 10 matches) and Novara sit 13th (10 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Trento1055015520
13Novara10244101410

A question about Trento vs Novara?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Trento vs Novara?
The Footlab AI model makes Trento the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for Novara.
Where and when is Trento vs Novara played?
Trento vs Novara is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Briamasco, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Trento and Novara

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