Where and when is Trento vs Novara played?

Trento vs Novara is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Briamasco, in the Serie C - Girone A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Trento vs Novara: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 19Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Briamasco, Trento

Trento

Novara

The Footlab model makes Trento the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Novara. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Trento vs Novara?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Trento (1,822) and Novara (1,758).

Trento win45 %

Draw29 %

Novara win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trento have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Novara have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Trento
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Treviso(home)	2-1	Serie C - Girone A
Aug 14, 2026	Ospitaletto(home)	2-1	Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 1, 2026	Modena(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 19, 2026	Genoa(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Giana Erminio(home)	1-2	Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs

Novara
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Juventus U23(away)	0-1	Serie C - Girone A
Aug 16, 2026	Alcione(away)	1-0	Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 5, 2026	Virtus Entella(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Sampdoria(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Ospitaletto(away)	2-0	Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Trento win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Novara win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 17, 2026	Trento 1-1 Novara	Serie C - Girone A
Sep 7, 2025	Novara 1-1 Trento	Serie C - Girone A
Apr 18, 2025	Novara 3-0 Trento	Serie C - Girone A
Dec 6, 2024	Trento 1-3 Novara	Serie C - Girone A
Jan 21, 2024	Trento 1-1 Novara	Serie C - Girone A
Sep 17, 2023	Novara 0-3 Trento	Serie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Trento vs Novara on Jan 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Trento score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Novara score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Trento	1.5	1.4	3	11/15	10/15
Novara	1.3	1.1	5	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Trento sit 6th in Serie C - Girone A (3 points from 1 matches) and Novara sit 18th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Trento	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
18	Novara	1	0	0	1	0	1	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Trento vs Novara?: The Footlab model makes Trento the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Novara.
Where and when is Trento vs Novara played?: Trento vs Novara is played on December 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Briamasco, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.