Dessel Sport vs Heist: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 13Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Armand Melis Stadion, Dessel
The Footlab model makes Heist the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Dessel Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dessel Sport vs Heist?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Dessel Sport (1,819) and Heist (1,916).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dessel Sport have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Heist have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(home) | 2-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Tienen(away) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Zelzate(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Knokke(home) | 4-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Patro Eisden(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Bocholt(home) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Berchem Sport(away) | 4-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Dessel Sport win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Heist win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | Heist 2-1 Dessel Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Dessel Sport 0-1 Heist | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Heist 1-3 Dessel Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Dessel Sport 0-2 Heist | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 15, 2023 | Dessel Sport 1-3 Heist | First Amateur Division |
| Aug 24, 2022 | Heist 2-2 Dessel Sport | First Amateur Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Dessel Sport score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Heist score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dessel Sport | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Heist | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dessel Sport | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dessel Sport vs Heist?
- The Footlab model makes Heist the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Dessel Sport.
- Where and when is Dessel Sport vs Heist played?
- Dessel Sport vs Heist is played on November 21, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Armand Melis Stadion, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.