Where and when is Detroit City vs Birmingham Legion played?

Detroit City vs Birmingham Legion is played on October 3, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Keyworth Stadium, in the USL Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Detroit City vs Birmingham Legion: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on October 3, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Keyworth Stadium, Hamtramck, Michigan

Detroit City

Birmingham Legion

The Footlab model makes Detroit City the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Birmingham Legion. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Detroit City vs Birmingham Legion?

Detroit City starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,810 vs 1,667).

Detroit City win57 %

Draw26 %

Birmingham Legion win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Detroit City have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Birmingham Legion have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Detroit City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Tampa Bay Rowdies(home)	1-0	USL Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Loudoun United(home)	0-0	USL Championship
Aug 9, 2026	FC Tulsa(away)	1-0	USL Championship
Aug 1, 2026	Miami FC(away)	2-2	USL Championship
Jul 25, 2026	Las Vegas Lights(home)	0-1	USL Championship

Birmingham Legion
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Sporting JAX(home)	2-3	USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026	Colorado Springs(away)	2-3	USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026	Rhode Island(home)	1-0	USL Championship
Jul 29, 2026	Louisville City(away)	1-2	USL Championship
Jul 12, 2026	FC Tulsa(home)	3-1	USL League One Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Detroit City win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Birmingham Legion win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 3, 2026	Birmingham Legion 1-2 Detroit City	USL Championship
May 18, 2025	Birmingham Legion 1-1 Detroit City	USL Championship
Mar 22, 2025	Detroit City 2-2 Birmingham Legion	USL Championship
Aug 17, 2024	Birmingham Legion 0-1 Detroit City	USL Championship
Jun 26, 2024	Detroit City 1-2 Birmingham Legion	USL Championship
Aug 27, 2023	Birmingham Legion 2-3 Detroit City	USL Championship

Last archived meeting: Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City on Jul 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Detroit City score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Birmingham Legion score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Detroit City	1.3	0.8	6	7/15	5/15
Birmingham Legion	1.3	1.3	3	11/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Detroit City sit 2nd in USL Championship (21 points from 13 matches) and Birmingham Legion sit 10th (12 points from 12 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Detroit City	13	6	3	4	19	13	21
3	Detroit City	20	10	5	5	27	17	35
10	Birmingham Legion	12	2	6	4	13	15	12
11	Birmingham Legion	19	3	8	8	22	27	17

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Detroit City vs Birmingham Legion?: The Footlab model makes Detroit City the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Birmingham Legion.
Where and when is Detroit City vs Birmingham Legion played?: Detroit City vs Birmingham Legion is played on October 3, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Keyworth Stadium, in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.