Where and when is Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion played?

Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion is played on October 10, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the USL Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on October 10, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)

Sporting JAX

Birmingham Legion

The Footlab model makes Birmingham Legion the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Sporting JAX. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Sporting JAX (1,636) and Birmingham Legion (1,686).

Sporting JAX win30 %

Draw24 %

Birmingham Legion win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting JAX have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Birmingham Legion have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sporting JAX
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Birmingham Legion(away)	3-2	USL Championship
Aug 15, 2026	Indy Eleven(home)	0-1	USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026	Sacramento Republic(away)	0-5	USL Championship
Jul 26, 2026	El Paso Locomotive(away)	0-2	USL Championship
Jul 18, 2026	Brooklyn(home)	2-2	USL Championship

Birmingham Legion
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Sporting JAX(home)	2-3	USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026	Colorado Springs(away)	2-3	USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026	Rhode Island(home)	1-0	USL Championship
Jul 29, 2026	Louisville City(away)	1-2	USL Championship
Jul 12, 2026	FC Tulsa(home)	3-1	USL League One Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Sporting JAX win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Birmingham Legion win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Birmingham Legion 2-3 Sporting JAX	USL Championship

Last archived meeting: Birmingham Legion vs Sporting JAX on Aug 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sporting JAX score 1.5 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Birmingham Legion score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sporting JAX	1.5	2.5	1	10/15	10/15
Birmingham Legion	1.3	1.3	3	11/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sporting JAX sit 13th in USL Championship (3 points from 13 matches) and Birmingham Legion sit 10th (12 points from 12 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Birmingham Legion	12	2	6	4	13	15	12
11	Birmingham Legion	19	3	8	8	22	27	17
13	Sporting JAX	13	0	3	10	15	34	3
13	Sporting JAX	21	2	5	14	26	54	11

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion?: The Footlab model makes Birmingham Legion the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Sporting JAX.
Where and when is Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion played?: Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion is played on October 10, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.