Persepam Madura Utd vs Persita: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 16Kick-off on December 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Gelora Madura Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, Pamekasan
The Footlab model makes Persepam Madura Utd the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Persita. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Persepam Madura Utd vs Persita?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Persepam Madura Utd (1,672) and Persita (1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Persepam Madura Utd have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Persita have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | PSM Makassar(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | PSIM Yogyakarta(away) | 1-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC(away) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Bali United(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Semen Padang(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Persis Solo(home) | 1-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Malut United(away) | 1-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Persijap(home) | 0-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | PSIM Yogyakarta(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Persepam Madura Utd win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Persita win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Persita 4-1 Persepam Madura Utd | Liga 1 |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Persepam Madura Utd 1-1 Persita | Liga 1 |
| Jan 24, 2025 | Persita 1-1 Persepam Madura Utd | Liga 1 |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Persepam Madura Utd 0-1 Persita | Liga 1 |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Persepam Madura Utd 3-2 Persita | Liga 1 |
| Sep 1, 2023 | Persita 1-3 Persepam Madura Utd | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Persita vs Persepam Madura Utd on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Persepam Madura Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Persita score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Persepam Madura Utd | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Persita | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Persepam Madura Utd sit 14th in Liga 1 (35 points from 34 matches) and Persita sit 10th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Persita | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 38 | 37 | 45 |
| 14 | Persepam Madura Utd | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 54 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Persepam Madura Utd vs Persita?
- The Footlab model makes Persepam Madura Utd the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Persita.
- Where and when is Persepam Madura Utd vs Persita played?
- Persepam Madura Utd vs Persita is played on December 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Gelora Madura Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 21, 2026AdhyaksavsPSM Makassar
- Dec 22, 2026PSIM YogyakartavsGarudayaksa
- Dec 22, 2026Dewa UnitedvsBali United
- Dec 22, 2026Malut UnitedvsPSS Sleman
- Dec 22, 2026Persebaya SurabayavsPersik Kediri
- Dec 22, 2026PersijapvsPersija
- Dec 23, 2026Pusamania BorneovsArema FC
- Dec 23, 2026Persib BandungvsBhayangkara FC