Match

Persepam Madura Utd vs Persita: prediction and stats

Liga 1Regular Season - 16Kick-off on December 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Gelora Madura Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, Pamekasan

Persepam Madura UtdPersita

The Footlab model makes Persepam Madura Utd the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Persita. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Persepam Madura Utd vs Persita?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Persepam Madura Utd (1,672) and Persita (1,676).

Persepam Madura Utd win40 %
Draw28 %
Persita win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Persepam Madura Utd have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Persita have 4, 1 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Persepam Madura Utd
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026PSM Makassar(home)2-0Liga 1
May 17, 2026PSIM Yogyakarta(away)1-2Liga 1
May 11, 2026Bhayangkara FC(away)1-3Liga 1
May 5, 2026Bali United(home)2-0Liga 1
Apr 29, 2026Semen Padang(away)1-0Liga 1
Persita
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Persis Solo(home)1-3Liga 1
May 16, 2026Malut United(away)1-1Liga 1
May 10, 2026Persijap(home)0-3Liga 1
May 5, 2026Pusamania Borneo(away)0-2Liga 1
Apr 30, 2026PSIM Yogyakarta(away)1-0Liga 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Persepam Madura Utd win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Persita win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2026Persita 4-1 Persepam Madura UtdLiga 1
Aug 24, 2025Persepam Madura Utd 1-1 PersitaLiga 1
Jan 24, 2025Persita 1-1 Persepam Madura UtdLiga 1
Aug 24, 2024Persepam Madura Utd 0-1 PersitaLiga 1
Mar 6, 2024Persepam Madura Utd 3-2 PersitaLiga 1
Sep 1, 2023Persita 1-3 Persepam Madura UtdLiga 1

Last archived meeting: Persita vs Persepam Madura Utd on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Persepam Madura Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Persita score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Persepam Madura Utd1.31.9310/1511/15
Persita0.91.315/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Persepam Madura Utd sit 14th in Liga 1 (35 points from 34 matches) and Persita sit 10th (45 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Persita3413615383745
14Persepam Madura Utd349817375435

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Persepam Madura Utd vs Persita?
The Footlab model makes Persepam Madura Utd the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Persita.
Where and when is Persepam Madura Utd vs Persita played?
Persepam Madura Utd vs Persita is played on December 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Gelora Madura Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, in the Liga 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Persepam Madura Utd and Persita

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