Pusamania Borneo vs Arema FC: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 16Kick-off on December 23, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Batakan, Balikpapan
The Footlab model makes Pusamania Borneo the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Arema FC. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pusamania Borneo vs Arema FC?
Pusamania Borneo starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,747).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pusamania Borneo have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Arema FC have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Malut United(home) | 7-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Persijap(away) | 0-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Bali United(away) | 3-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Persita(home) | 2-0 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Persik Kediri(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Persija(away) | 1-3 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 31, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 2-0 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(away) | 2-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Pusamania Borneo win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Arema FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo 3-1 Arema FC | Liga 1 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Arema FC 1-3 Pusamania Borneo | Liga 1 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Pusamania Borneo 3-1 Arema FC | Liga 1 |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Arema FC 0-2 Pusamania Borneo | Liga 1 |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Pusamania Borneo 1-1 Arema FC | Piala Presiden |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Pusamania Borneo 1-2 Arema FC | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Pusamania Borneo vs Arema FC on Feb 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pusamania Borneo score 2.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pusamania Borneo | 2.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Arema FC | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pusamania Borneo sit 2nd in Liga 1 (79 points from 34 matches) and Arema FC sit 9th (48 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pusamania Borneo | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 74 | 31 | 79 |
| 9 | Arema FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 47 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pusamania Borneo vs Arema FC?
- The Footlab model makes Pusamania Borneo the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Arema FC.
- Where and when is Pusamania Borneo vs Arema FC played?
- Pusamania Borneo vs Arema FC is played on December 23, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Batakan, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 21, 2026AdhyaksavsPSM Makassar
- Dec 22, 2026PSIM YogyakartavsGarudayaksa
- Dec 22, 2026Dewa UnitedvsBali United
- Dec 22, 2026Malut UnitedvsPSS Sleman
- Dec 22, 2026Persebaya SurabayavsPersik Kediri
- Dec 22, 2026PersijapvsPersija
- Dec 23, 2026Persib BandungvsBhayangkara FC
- Dec 23, 2026Persepam Madura UtdvsPersita