Digenis Neochori vs Pierikos: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 4Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Oichalias Babis Papachatzis, Oichalia
The Footlab model makes Pierikos the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Digenis Neochori. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Digenis Neochori vs Pierikos?
Pierikos starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,522 vs 1,366).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Digenis Neochori have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Pierikos have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2023 | Trikala(away) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2023 | Asteras Petriti(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Chalkis(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Zakynthos(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Panelefsiniakos(away) | 0-5 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Veria(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Alexandreia(home) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(away) | 0-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Ermis Exochi(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Apollon Pontou(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Digenis Neochori win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Pierikos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2019 | Digenis Neochori 1-3 Pierikos | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Digenis Neochori vs Pierikos on Dec 15, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Digenis Neochori score 0.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pierikos score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Digenis Neochori | 0.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Pierikos | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Digenis Neochori vs Pierikos?
- The Footlab model makes Pierikos the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Digenis Neochori.
- Where and when is Digenis Neochori vs Pierikos played?
- Digenis Neochori vs Pierikos is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Oichalias Babis Papachatzis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.