Pierikos vs Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4Group 4 - 8Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Katerinis, Katerini
The Footlab model makes Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Pierikos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pierikos vs Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou?
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,670 vs 1,522).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pierikos have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Veria(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Alexandreia(home) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou(away) | 0-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Ermis Exochi(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Apollon Pontou(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Elassona(away) | 3-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
| May 14, 2026 | Panthrakikos(home) | 3-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
| May 10, 2026 | Apollon Pontou(away) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
| May 3, 2026 | Elassona(home) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Panthrakikos(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Group |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Pierikos win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou 4-0 Pierikos | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou 1-0 Pierikos | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Pierikos 1-1 Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Pierikos 0-2 Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou 2-1 Pierikos | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou 1-1 Pierikos | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou vs Pierikos on Apr 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pierikos score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierikos | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou | 2.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pierikos vs Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou?
- The Footlab model makes Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Pierikos.
- Where and when is Pierikos vs Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou played?
- Pierikos vs Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Katerinis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.