Dijon vs Rodez: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 10Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Gaston-Gérard, Dijon
The Footlab AI model makes Dijon the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Rodez. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dijon wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dijon vs Rodez?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Dijon (1,947) and Rodez (1,894).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dijon vs Rodez
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dijon
4-3-1-2- 11Júlio Tavares
- 9T. Dong
- 14J. Marié
- 8P. Bellon
- 17A. Lembezat
- 20H. Vargas-Ríos
- 23L. Lacroix
- 5Q. Bernard
- 7B. Hamada
- 31M. Faty
- 16P. Delecroix
Rodez
5-3-2- 7K. Nagera
- 9N. Nsingi
- 6J. Mendes
- 29Antonin Cartillier
- 10M. Saka
- 4M. Magnin
- 3R. Lipinski
- 24L. Quenabio
- 28S. Luyambula Biwa
- 17L. Vungele Vangi
- 1Q. Braat
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dijon have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Rodez have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Metz(home) | 4-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Estac Troyes(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Annecy(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Laval(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Boulogne(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Nancy(home) | 3-4 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Grenoble(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Metz(away) | 1-4 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Dijon wins, 1 draw, 1 Rodez win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | Dijon 1-0 Rodez | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 30, 2022 | Rodez 2-1 Dijon | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 15, 2022 | Rodez 0-2 Dijon | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 7, 2021 | Dijon 1-1 Rodez | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Dijon score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Rodez score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
| Rodez | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dijon sit 7th in Ligue 2 (12 points from 8 matches) and Rodez sit 15th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dijon | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | Rodez | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 7 |
A question about Dijon vs Rodez?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dijon vs Rodez?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dijon the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Rodez.
- Where and when is Dijon vs Rodez played?
- Dijon vs Rodez is played on October 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Gaston-Gérard, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.