PAU vs Grenoble: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 10Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Nouste Camp, Bizanos
The Footlab model makes PAU the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Grenoble. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PAU vs Grenoble?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate PAU (1,751) and Grenoble (1,786).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PAU have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Grenoble have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Nancy(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dijon(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Annecy(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Real Unión(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 0-4 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Metz(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dunkerque(away) | 2-4 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Andrézieux(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Clermont Foot(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 PAU win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Grenoble win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | PAU 2-2 Grenoble | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Grenoble 1-1 PAU | Ligue 2 |
| Feb 28, 2025 | PAU 1-0 Grenoble | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Grenoble 1-1 PAU | Ligue 2 |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Grenoble 0-1 PAU | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 28, 2023 | PAU 3-2 Grenoble | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
PAU score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Grenoble score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAU | 0.9 | 2.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Grenoble | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PAU sit 12th in Ligue 2 (3 points from 3 matches) and Grenoble sit 17th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | PAU | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 17 | Grenoble | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PAU vs Grenoble?
- The Footlab model makes PAU the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Grenoble.
- Where and when is PAU vs Grenoble played?
- PAU vs Grenoble is played on October 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Nouste Camp, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.