Saint Etienne vs Nantes: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 10Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Ètienne
The Footlab AI model makes Saint Etienne the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Nantes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Saint Etienne wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saint Etienne vs Nantes?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Saint Etienne (1,956) and Nantes (1,860).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Saint Etienne vs Nantes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Saint Etienne
4-2-3-1- 7I. Cardona
- 8T. Ballo
- 14Á. Csongvai
- 20A. Boakye
- 10J. Breum
- 16T. Svetlin
- 6M. Bernauer
- 26J. Le Cardinal
- 18S. Nair
- 23K. Pedro
- 30G. Larsonneur
Nantes
4-1-4-1- 27T. Robinet
- 20M. Cafaro
- 26R. Hachem
- 13F. Doucouré
- 44B. Pierret
- 28I. Sissoko
- 5L. Perrin
- 4S. Sow
- 24F. Guilbert
- 98K. Amian
- 1M. Dupé
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 10:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saint Etienne have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Nantes have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | FC Sion(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Metz(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dunkerque(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Montpellier(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Dijon(away) | 3-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Boulogne(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sochaux(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Nancy(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Guingamp(away) | 3-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rodez(home) | 2-5 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Saint Etienne wins, 5 draws, 1 Nantes win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | Saint Etienne 1-1 Nantes | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Nantes 2-2 Saint Etienne | Ligue 1 |
| May 21, 2022 | Nantes 1-1 Saint Etienne | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 22, 2021 | Saint Etienne 0-1 Nantes | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 3, 2021 | Saint Etienne 1-1 Nantes | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Nantes 2-2 Saint Etienne | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Saint Etienne vs Nantes on Jan 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Saint Etienne score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nantes score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Nantes | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saint Etienne sit 1st in Ligue 2 (16 points from 7 matches) and Nantes sit 15th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 16 |
| 15 | Nantes | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 7 |
A question about Saint Etienne vs Nantes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saint Etienne vs Nantes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Saint Etienne the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Nantes.
- Where and when is Saint Etienne vs Nantes played?
- Saint Etienne vs Nantes is played on October 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.