Saint Etienne vs Nantes: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 10Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Ètienne
The Footlab model makes Saint Etienne the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Nantes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saint Etienne vs Nantes?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Saint Etienne (1,918) and Nantes (1,831).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saint Etienne have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Nantes have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Grenoble(home) | 4-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Clermont Foot(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sochaux(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Lausanne(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rodez(home) | 2-5 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Laval(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RED Star FC 93(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Al Wakrah(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Saint Etienne win(s), 5 draw(s), 1 Nantes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | Saint Etienne 1-1 Nantes | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Nantes 2-2 Saint Etienne | Ligue 1 |
| May 21, 2022 | Nantes 1-1 Saint Etienne | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 22, 2021 | Saint Etienne 0-1 Nantes | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 3, 2021 | Saint Etienne 1-1 Nantes | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Nantes 2-2 Saint Etienne | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Saint Etienne vs Nantes on Jan 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Saint Etienne score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nantes score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Nantes | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saint Etienne sit 1st in Ligue 2 (9 points from 3 matches) and Nantes sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 18 | Nantes | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saint Etienne vs Nantes?
- The Footlab model makes Saint Etienne the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Nantes.
- Where and when is Saint Etienne vs Nantes played?
- Saint Etienne vs Nantes is played on October 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.