Dinamo Bryansk vs Rodina Moskva II: prediction and stats
Second League A - Division A GoldFall Season Gold - 13Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dinamo, Bryansk
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Bryansk the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Rodina Moskva II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Bryansk vs Rodina Moskva II?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Dinamo Bryansk (1,781) and Rodina Moskva II (1,792).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Bryansk have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Rodina Moskva II have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kaluga(away) | 1-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rodina Moskva II(away) | 1-3 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Znamya Noginsk(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Novosibirsk(home) | 1-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dinamo Vladivostok(away) | 2-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Volgar Astrakhan(away) | 1-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Bryansk(home) | 3-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaluga(away) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Novosibirsk(away) | 3-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dinamo Vladivostok(home) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Dinamo Bryansk win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Rodina Moskva II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rodina Moskva II 3-1 Dinamo Bryansk | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Rodina Moskva II 2-3 Dinamo Bryansk | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Dinamo Bryansk 1-1 Rodina Moskva II | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Sep 22, 2022 | Rodina Moskva II 1-0 Dinamo Bryansk | Second League - Group 3 |
| Jul 24, 2022 | Dinamo Bryansk 1-1 Rodina Moskva II | Second League - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Rodina Moskva II vs Dinamo Bryansk on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Bryansk score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rodina Moskva II score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Bryansk | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Rodina Moskva II | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Bryansk sit 3rd in Second League A - Division A Gold (7 points from 5 matches) and Rodina Moskva II sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moskva II | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Dinamo Bryansk | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Bryansk vs Rodina Moskva II?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Bryansk the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Rodina Moskva II.
- Where and when is Dinamo Bryansk vs Rodina Moskva II played?
- Dinamo Bryansk vs Rodina Moskva II is played on October 9, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dinamo, in the Second League A - Division A Gold.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.