Dinamo Kirov vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz: prediction and stats
Second League A - Division A GoldFall Season Gold - 13Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rossiya, Novovyatsk
The Footlab model makes Dinamo Kirov the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Alaniya Vladikavkaz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dinamo Kirov vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Dinamo Kirov (1,812) and Alaniya Vladikavkaz (1,740).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dinamo Kirov have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Alaniya Vladikavkaz have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Amkar(home) | 4-4 | Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinamo Vladivostok(home) | 1-2 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz(away) | 0-2 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Broke Boys(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mashuk-KMV(home) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mashuk-KMV(away) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Kirov(home) | 2-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Spartak Nalchik(away) | 3-3 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Sokol Saratov(away) | 1-2 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Volgar Astrakhan(home) | 1-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Dinamo Kirov win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Alaniya Vladikavkaz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2-0 Dinamo Kirov | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| May 30, 2026 | Dinamo Kirov 3-2 Alaniya Vladikavkaz | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz 0-0 Dinamo Kirov | Second League A - Division A Silver |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2-1 Dinamo Kirov | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Dinamo Kirov 1-2 Alaniya Vladikavkaz | Second League A - Division A Gold |
Last archived meeting: Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Dinamo Kirov on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dinamo Kirov score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Alaniya Vladikavkaz score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Kirov | 1.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Alaniya Vladikavkaz | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dinamo Kirov sit 2nd in Second League A - Division A Gold (8 points from 5 matches) and Alaniya Vladikavkaz sit 4th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dinamo Kirov | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dinamo Kirov vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?
- The Footlab model makes Dinamo Kirov the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Alaniya Vladikavkaz.
- Where and when is Dinamo Kirov vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz played?
- Dinamo Kirov vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz is played on October 9, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rossiya, in the Second League A - Division A Gold.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.